Current:Home > MyThe U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look -GrowthInsight
The U.S. created an extraordinary number of jobs in January. Here's a deeper look
TrendPulse Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-06 19:21:41
It's Groundhog Day. And once again, the monthly jobs report has confounded forecasters.
U.S. employers added 353,000 jobs in January, according to a report from the Labor Department Friday. That's far more than analysts were expecting.
The job market has held up remarkably well, despite the Federal Reserve's effort to fight inflation with the highest interest rates in more than two decades.
The question is whether the Fed will see a shadow in the stronger-than-expected jobs market and extend our winter of elevated borrowing costs.
Policy makers might worry that such a strong labor market will keep prices higher for longer.
Here are four takeaways from Friday's report.
Demand for workers is still extraordinarily strong
Nearly every industry added jobs last month. Health care added 70,000 jobs. Business services added 74,000. Even construction and manufacturing — two industries that typically feel the drag of higher interest rates — continued to hire in January.
What's more, revised figures show job growth in November and December was stronger than initially reported.
Meanwhile, the unemployment rate held steady at a historically low 3.7%. It's been under 4% for two full years now.
More people are joining the workforce
Helping to balance the strong demand for labor is a growing supply of available workers.
Many people who were sidelined during the pandemic have since joined or re-joined the workforce — thanks in part to the possibility of remote work.
Nearly 23% of employees teleworked or worked from home last month — more than double the rate before the pandemic.
The share of people in their prime working years who are working or looking for work in January rose to 83.3%.
Immigration has also rebounded. The foreign-born workforce grew 4.3% last year, while the native-born workforce was virtually flat.
"Those two forces have significantly lowered the temperature in the labor market," said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell this week. "It's still a good labor market for wages and for finding a job. But it's getting back into balance and that's what we want to see."
But the sizzling job market could delay a cut in interest rates
Powell said this week that he and his colleagues could start cutting interest rates this year if inflation continues to fall.
Powell cautioned, however, that a rate cut at the next Fed meeting in March is unlikely. It's probably even more unlikely after this stronger-than-expected jobs report, which showed average wages in January rising 4.5% from a year ago.
Although rising wages have not been a big driver of inflation, wage gains at that level could make it hard to get inflation all the way down to the Fed's target of 2%.
Before the jobs report, investors had been all but certain the Fed would cut interest rates by May. They're less confident now.
Productivity gains could make rising wages less worrisome
Two other reports from the Labor Department this week show less upward pressure on wages and prices.
One report tracks the labor costs borne by employers last year. It showed a smaller increase in October, November and December than the previous quarter. This "employment cost index" is considered a more reliable guide to labor expenses than the monthly wage data.
A separate report showed that workers' productivity rose by 3.2% in the fourth quarter. Rising productivity helps to offset rising wages, so employers can afford to pay more without raising prices.
"Productivity is the magic wand that keeps wages growing solidly without spiking inflation," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the payroll processing company ADP.
veryGood! (51563)
Related
- 'Kraven the Hunter' spoilers! Let's dig into that twisty ending, supervillain reveal
- Report: Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence could miss rest of season with shoulder injury
- Kirk Herbstreit berates LSU fans throwing trash vs Alabama: 'Enough is enough, clowns'
- Reds honor Pete Rose with a 14-hour visitation at Great American Ball Park
- Taylor Swift makes surprise visit to Kansas City children’s hospital
- Early Black Friday Deals: 70% Off Apple, Dyson, Tarte, Barefoot Dreams, Le Creuset & More + Free Shipping
- MLS playoff teams set: Road to MLS Cup continues with conference semifinals
- Don't Miss This Sweet Moment Between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's Dads at the Kansas City Chiefs Game
- US appeals court rejects Nasdaq’s diversity rules for company boards
- Maine dams face an uncertain future
Ranking
- A Mississippi company is sentenced for mislabeling cheap seafood as premium local fish
- Oregon's Dan Lanning, Indiana's Curt Cignetti pocket big bonuses after Week 11 wins
- One person is dead after a shooting at Tuskegee University
- Unexpected pairing: New documentary tells a heartwarming story between Vietnam enemies
- US appeals court rejects Nasdaq’s diversity rules for company boards
- AP Top 25: Oregon remains No. 1 as Big Ten grabs 4 of top 5 spots; Georgia, Miami out of top 10
- CRYPTIFII Introduce
- Jared Goff stats: Lions QB throws career-high 5 INTs in SNF win over Texans
Recommendation
Travis Hunter, the 2
'He's driving the bus': Jim Harbaugh effect paying dividends for Justin Herbert, Chargers
Why Amanda Seyfried Traded Living in Hollywood for Life on a Farm in Upstate New York
Diddy's ex-bodyguard sues rape accuser for defamation over claims of 2001 assault
The company planning a successor to Concorde makes its first supersonic test
We Can Tell You How to Get to Sesame Street—and Even More Secrets About the Beloved Show
Kennesaw State football coach Brian Bohannon steps down after 10 seasons amid first year in FBS
1 dead, 2 children injured in wrong-way crash; driver suspected of DWI: Reports